Experts are sounding a new alarm about the effects of climate change
for parts of the Caribbean — the depletion of already strained drinking
water throughout much of the region.
Rising sea levels could
contaminate supplies of fresh water and changing climate patterns could
result in less rain to supply reservoirs in the coming decades,
scientists and officials warned at a conference in St. Lucia this week.
"Inaction
is not an option," said Lystra Fletcher-Paul, Caribbean land and water
officer for the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization. "The water
resources will not be available."
Some of the possible solutions
include limits on development, increased use of desalination plants and
better management of existing water supplies, but all face challenges in
a region where many governments carry heavy debts and have few new
sources of revenue.
Many Caribbean nations rely exclusively on
underground water for their needs, a vulnerable source that would be hit
hard by climate change effects, said Jason Johnson, vice president of
the Caribbean Water and Wastewater Association, a Trinidad-based
nonprofit group.
"That's the greatest concern," he said. "Those
weather patterns may change, and there may not necessarily be the means
for those water supplies to be replenished at the pace that they have
historically been replenished."
Parts of the Caribbean have been experiencing an unusually dry spell that emerged last year.
In
August 2012, some islands reported extremely dry weather, including
Grenada and Anguilla. By July of this year, those conditions had spread
to Trinidad, Antigua, St. Vincent and Barbados, the Caribbean Institute
for Meteorology & Hydrology says.
"We're seeing changes in
weather patterns," said Avril Alexander, Caribbean coordinator for the
nonprofit Global Water Partnership. "... When you look at the projected
impact of climate change, a lot of the impact is going to be felt
through water."
Intense rains have been reported in recent months
in some Caribbean areas, but that doesn't mean an increase in fresh
water supply, said Bernard Ettinoffe, president of the Caribbean Water
and Sewerage Association Inc., a St. Lucia-based group that represents
water utilities in the region.
Heavy rains mean there's not enough
time for water to soak into the ground as it quickly runs off, he said.
In addition, the cost of water treatment increases, and many islands
instead shut their systems to prevent contamination.
The island
considered most at risk is Barbados, which ranks 21st out of 168
countries in terms of water demand exceeding available surface water
supplies, according to a 2012 study by British risk analysis firm
Maplecroft. Other Caribbean islands high on the list are Cuba and the
Dominican Republic, which ranked 45 and 48, respectively. The study did
not provide data on a smattering of eastern Caribbean islands that
officials say are among the driest in the region.
"There
are a number of indications that the total amount of rainfall in much
of the Caribbean would be decreasing by the end of the century," said
Cedric Van Meerbeeck, a climatologist with the Caribbean Institute for
Meteorology & Hydrology.
Van Meerbeeck said water supplies
will continue to decrease if individuals as well as agriculture and
tourism, the region's key industries, do not monitor use.
"Climate
is maybe not the biggest factor, but it's a drop in an already full
bucket of water," he said. "It will have quite dramatic consequences if
we keep using water the way we do right now."
Jamaica, Trinidad
and Barbados have ordered rationing this year, with Barbados reducing
pressure and occasionally cutting off supply to some areas. The island
also began to recycle water, with officials collecting treated
wastewater to operate airport toilets.
Overuse of wells elsewhere
has caused saltwater seepage and a deterioration of potable water
underground, leading to the construction of hundreds of desalination
plants in the Caribbean.
But the cost of desalination still
remains unaffordable for many governments, said John Thompson, director
of the Caribbean Desalination Association board.
The biggest
challenge overall is changing the mentality of water utility authorities
who see their role as solely providing clean water, Johnson said.
"The
new reality is that it's a national security issue if your water
supplies are diminished," Johnson said. "It becomes a health and safety
issue."
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