The number of refugees fleeing
Syria's violence has surpassed the 2 million mark, the U.N. refugee
agency said Tuesday, as top U.S. officials prepared to argue before a
key Senate committee for a punitive strike against the regime of Syrian
President Bashar Assad.
Earlier, the U.S. administration won
backing from French intelligence and reportedly also from Germany's spy
agency for its claim that Assad's forces were responsible for suspected
chemical weapons attacks on rebel-held areas near Damascus that are
believed to have killed hundreds of Syrian civilians.
A nine-page
intelligence synopsis published by the French government Monday
concluded that the regime launched the Aug. 21 attacks involving a
"massive use of chemical agents" and could carry out similar strikes in
the future.
In Germany, the news magazine Der Spiegel reported
that the Federal Intelligence Service (BND) also believes Assad's regime
was behind the attacks. On its website, the magazine reported that BND
head Gerhard Schindler recently told top government officials in a
secret briefing that while the evidence is not absolutely conclusive, an
"analysis of plausibility" supports the idea of the Syrian government
as the perpetrator.
The Assad regime has denied using chemical
weapons, blaming rebels instead. Neither the U.S. nor Syria and its
allies have presented conclusive proof in public.
The Obama
administration insists it has a strong case against the Assad regime and
that chemical weapons use must not go unpunished. Last week, President
Barack Obama appeared poised to authorize military strikes, but
unexpectedly stepped back to first seek approval from Congress, which
returns from summer recess next week.
Since then, the
administration has relentlessly lobbied Congress for support in the most
important foreign policy vote since the Iraq war a decade ago. Members
of Obama's national security and intelligence teams have been holding
classified, closed-door briefings for members of Congress. More sessions
were scheduled for Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.
Also Tuesday,
Secretary of State John Kerry, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel and Gen.
Martin Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, are to testify
publicly before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Obama,
meanwhile, is to meet with leaders of the House and Senate armed
services committees, the foreign relations committees and the
intelligence committees.
The
Syria conflict erupted in March 2011 with a popular uprising against
Assad that quickly escalated into a civil war that has killed more than
100,000 people.
The U.N. refugee agency announced Tuesday that the number of Syrians who have fled the country has surpassed the 2 million mark.
Along
with more than four million people displaced inside Syria, this means
more than six million Syrians have been uprooted, out of an estimated
population of 23 million.
Antonio Guterres, the head of the Office
for the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees, said Syria is hemorrhaging
an average of almost 5,000 citizens a day across its borders, many of
them with little more than the clothes they are wearing. Nearly 1.8
million refugees have fled in the past 12 months alone, he said.
The
agency's special envoy, Angelina Jolie, said "some neighboring
countries could be brought to the point of collapse" if the situation
keeps deteriorating at its current pace. Most Syrian refugees have fled
to Jordan, Lebanon and Turkey.
Despite the grim toll, Assad has not shown any signs of backing down.
Assad
and some in his inner circle are from Syria's minority Alawites, or
followers of an offshoot of Shiite Islam, who believe they would not
have a place in Syria if the rebels win. Most of those trying to topple
Assad are Sunni Muslims, with Islamic militants, including those linked
to the al-Qaida terror network, increasingly dominant among the rebels.
In
an interview with the French newspaper Le Figaro on Monday, Assad
challenged the West to present proof of his regime's alleged involvement
in the purported chemical weapons attacks.
"If
the Americans, the French or the British had a shred of proof, they
would have shown it beginning on the first day," he said, deriding Obama
as "weak" and having buckled to U.S. domestic political pressure.
"We believe that a strong man is one who prevents war, not one who inflames it," Assad said.
However,
the German intelligence assessment, as reported by Der Spiegel, said
only the Assad regime would have been capable of launching the attacks.
Kerry
has said the U.S. has evidence the nerve agent sarin was used in the
attacks. Schindler, the German intelligence chief, said in his briefing
that only the regime has sarin at its disposal and that only experts of
the regime could mix the agents and use them with small rockets, Der
Spiegel wrote.
The BND believes the regime has used chemical
weapons before, but that a more diluted mix was used in the earlier
attacks, the magazine wrote. Schindler raised the possibility that a
more toxic mix may have been inadvertently loaded into the shells fired
on Aug. 21 on rebel-held areas west and east of Damascus, Der Spiegel
reported.
The German spy agency also intercepted a phone call in
which a senior official from the Lebanese militia Hezbollah told Iranian
diplomats that Assad had miscalculated by ordering the sarin attack,
Der Spiegel said. Hezbollah and Iran are Assad allies.
The U.S.
claims that at least 1,429 people were killed in the Aug. 21 attacks,
including more than 400 children. The Britain-based Syrian Observatory
for Human Rights, which collects information from a network of
anti-regime activists, says it has so far only been able to confirm 502
dead.
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